Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.869017 4.131437 4.411055 4.732605 5.093973 5.489688 5.958747
2025-09-14 3.354294 3.704010 4.098152 4.580440 5.162020 5.850664 6.743510
2025-09-21 3.055086 3.447112 3.905470 4.490544 5.232297 6.163377 7.459342
2025-09-28 2.853279 3.272703 3.777200 4.443138 5.322786 6.483230 8.204276
2025-10-05 2.711569 3.153638 3.698418 4.438944 5.453879 6.856118 9.068099
2025-10-12 2.628230 3.097335 3.689052 4.516868 5.694371 7.401328 10.281017
2025-10-19 2.550768 3.040789 3.671665 4.577321 5.910244 7.932650 11.580037
2025-10-26 2.464728 2.966191 3.622867 4.586342 6.046780 8.354451 12.783147
2025-11-02 2.360459 2.860828 3.524476 4.514453 6.049684 8.554925 13.615733
2025-11-09 2.253308 2.745928 3.405814 4.403092 5.978037 8.616308 14.180554
2025-11-16 2.170560 2.660096 3.322647 4.337743 5.972130 8.788772 15.022301
2025-11-23 2.123920 2.621238 3.303018 4.365715 6.119548 9.256165 16.667044
2025-11-30 2.070162 2.571907 3.268220 4.371733 6.237573 9.701171 18.467760
2025-12-07 1.979922 2.468175 3.150041 4.240009 6.106558 9.641346 18.937133
2025-12-14 1.910836 2.391654 3.068168 4.160767 6.060766 9.747920 19.923682
2025-12-21 1.857003 2.334576 3.012081 4.118868 6.077037 9.984807 21.404427
2025-12-28 1.816920 2.295557 2.980904 4.115159 6.162193 10.383757 23.617881
2026-01-04 1.797958 2.286087 2.993423 4.184031 6.389874 11.146053 27.638649
2026-01-11 1.776154 2.271423 2.996963 4.237399 6.592809 11.894671 32.305237
2026-01-18 1.744784 2.241408 2.975192 4.245358 6.705567 12.444114 36.679231
2026-01-25 1.698683 2.188013 2.914696 4.181898 6.665901 12.588159 39.144638
2026-02-01 1.646924 2.124768 2.836580 4.083442 6.545550 12.495782 40.223353
2026-02-08 1.606670 2.077739 2.782633 4.025580 6.506757 12.626273 42.893789